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‘Not theirs for the taking’: Can the Canadian pension model survive a new era of politicization?

Reported by Financialpost
Jan 16, 2025· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Canada's largest pension funds, including the Maple 8, face mounting political pressure after Ottawa, Alberta and other governments signaled interest in directing pension capital toward domestic investment, according to the Financial Post.
  • • Alberta's government fired the entire board and chief executive of Alberta Investment Management Corp. (AIMCo) in November 2024 and installed former Prime Minister Stephen Harper as chairman, fueling fears of a dual mandate.
  • • Domestic pension allocation to Canadian public markets fell to under 4% of total assets at the end of 2023 from 28% in 2000, per an open letter signed by 90 business leaders.
  • • The federal fall economic statement tempered concerns by dropping a 30% control cap on pension investments and exploring changes to municipal utility and airport land rules, while the political outlook remains uncertain.
  • • Pension veterans warn that the funds' independence from government influence, the core of the Canadian pension model, is the key asset at risk.
Summary
The Canadian pension model, long admired for generating strong returns through a diversified investment approach insulated from government direction, faces its most serious political test in years, according to a Financial Post feature. The Maple 8 group of large institutional investors, including the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, has been widely envied for its performance, but pension veterans argue the model's core advantage is that funds invest solely for beneficiaries. Former CPPIB chief executive Mark Wiseman said that "the (pension) money is not theirs for the taking," while former Ontario Teachers' CEO Claude Lamoureux warned against using pensions as tools for economic policy.

Pressure intensified in 2024. Ottawa's fall economic statement in 2023 called for major pensions to invest more in Canada, and a group of business leaders later urged new rules and incentives to reverse declining domestic investment. A task force led by former Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz was created to guide the process. The most dramatic development came in November, when Alberta's government fired the board and chief executive of AIMCo, the province's main public asset manager, and installed former Prime Minister Stephen Harper as chairman while placing a government bureaucrat permanently on the board. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith had earlier suggested the Heritage Savings Trust Fund, managed by AIMCo, could act more like a sovereign wealth fund, and Gil McGowan of Alberta's Federation of Labour said members were concerned their retirement money could support oil and gas projects.

The Liberals' fall economic statement, tabled the same day as finance minister Chrystia Freeland's resignation in December, offered some reassurance. It did not impose direct investment directives and instead proposed examining a 10% ownership cap on municipal utilities and airport land lease rules, and said pensions would no longer be subject to a 30% control cap on companies they invest in. Keith Ambachtscheer, a veteran pension expert, described the model as "alive and well" for now, though Lamoureux said political instability has added uncertainty.

Critics of government involvement acknowledge that domestic allocation has declined sharply. Alex Beath, formerly of CEM Benchmarking, noted that tax-exempt pension funds receive substantial public subsidy, which could justify expectations of domestic reinvestment. The open letter also said the eight largest pensions had invested about $88 billion in China, more than the roughly $81 billion they held in Canadian public and private companies combined. Lamoureux countered that Canada represents about 2.5% of world market capitalization according to UBS, and that foreign diversification had driven improved funding levels. The Global Risk Institute has suggested that governments attract pension capital through large-scale infrastructure assets rather than allocation directives.

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Financialpost ‘Not theirs for the taking’: Can the Canadian pension model survive a new era of politicization?