Key Takeaways
- • Private equity investors in Central Europe maintain stable confidence levels despite geopolitical headwinds, with the Deloitte Central Europe Private Equity Confidence Survey showing resilience across the region.
- • Majority of respondents expect transactional activity to remain stable or increase, with 36% anticipating higher deal volume and 56% expecting activity to hold at current levels; only 8% predict a decline.
- • Economic conditions perceived as stable by 74% of survey participants, with 18% expecting improvement and only 8% forecasting deterioration, demonstrating confidence despite Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
- • Financing liquidity expected to remain stable, with 70% of respondents anticipating maintained access to capital, 20% expecting improvement, and only 10% projecting contraction.
- • Romania exemplifies regional momentum, with private equity and venture capital investments surging more than fourfold year-over-year to €433.6 million in 2025, while exit values reached record levels of €662 million.
Summary
Transactional expectations remain predominantly positive, with survey respondents evenly split between growth and stability. More than one-third of participants (36%) project an increase in deal activity, while a substantial majority of 56% expect transaction volumes to remain at current levels. Only a small minority (8%) anticipate a decline in activity, underscoring broad-based confidence in deal flow. This bifurcated view—between modest growth and stabilization—suggests the market has priced in near-term uncertainties while maintaining constructive longer-term positioning.
Economic perception among private equity investors tilts heavily toward stability, with three-quarters of respondents (74%) forecasting no material change in conditions. A meaningful subset (18%) expects economic improvement in the remainder of 2025, while only 8% project deterioration. Similarly, financing conditions are expected to support continued activity, with 70% of respondents anticipating that liquidity levels will hold steady, 20% expecting improved access to capital, and 10% bracing for tighter conditions. This financing outlook directly underpins the transaction activity expectations and validates the overall stability narrative.
Romania has emerged as a particular beneficiary of regional momentum, with private equity and venture capital investment volumes increasing more than fourfold to €433.6 million in 2025 compared to the prior year, while exit values reached record levels at €662 million. The survey results position Central Europe as an increasingly resilient market shaped by three decades of institutional development and growing international connectivity, supporting the region's trajectory as a destination for sustained long-term capital deployment.
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