Key Takeaways
- • Bain & Company's Global Private Equity Report 2026 states that private equity "finally found some footing in 2025," with deal and exit values surging and a few megadeals dominating headlines.
- • The rebound was narrow: distributions to investors remained stubbornly low, and fund-raising remained a grind for many general partners.
- • The report characterizes the environment as a K-shaped recovery, as low prices, cheap debt, and easy multiple expansion are expected to be absent for the foreseeable future.
- • The report asserts that "12 is the new 5," meaning current deals require faster EBITDA growth than in prior cycles, achievable only through sharper value creation.
- • Bain argues winning firms will build systems rather than slogans, invest in talent and AI, and move from full potential diligence to execution on Day 1.
Summary
The report describes the current phase as a K-shaped recovery. Bain contends that the conditions that supported returns in prior years, including low purchase prices, inexpensive debt, and easy multiple expansion, are unlikely to return for the foreseeable future. As a result, value creation must come from operational improvement rather than market tailwinds.
A central theme is the assertion that "12 is the new 5," which Bain uses to describe the higher EBITDA growth now required to justify deals compared with earlier periods. Achieving that growth, the report argues, depends on sharper value creation and a clearer, data-backed edge over competitors.
Bain's prescription for managers emphasizes building repeatable systems, investing in talent and artificial intelligence, and shifting from full potential diligence to execution from the first day of ownership. A podcast executive summary accompanies the report, with its host noting "unmistakable signs of recovery" but limiting that recovery to "a subset of investors."
Go deeper than the headline
Research every firm in this story, track the ones that matter and get the daily briefing — free for 7 days.