Key Takeaways
- • Private debt has grown into a mainstream alternative to bank loans for intermediate-size companies, with assets under management (AuM) having tripled over the last decade according to Pitchbook data as of 31/12/2022.
- • Single-tranche (unitranche) senior debt for high-quality companies generated a gross annual return of 11-12% in H2 2023, per Rothschild & Co, built from a 3% arrangement fee, 3.9% 3-month Euribor and a 6.25%-7.25% cash coupon.
- • Private debt funds typically have a 2-3 year investment period and 6-8 year fund life, with quarterly coupon payments and variable-rate structures that benefit lenders in the current high-rate environment.
- • Lenders are being highly selective: leverage has declined structurally, margins are rising, and subordinated/junior debt (PIK, mezzanine) has returned after nearly vanishing.
- • Rising default rates and more restructuring and distressed debt reflect a less favourable macroeconomic backdrop for borrowers, with cyclical sectors facing the most financing difficulty.
Summary
The term private debt generally refers to unitranche senior debt as well as subordinated or junior debt. Unitranche, introduced in 2012, replaces a junior/senior debt combination with a single lender, giving borrowers speed, flexibility and a closer lender relationship. For lenders, it carries senior-level collateral with a higher yield, since it can support higher leverage. Subordinated debt ranks below senior debt and above equity, offering higher returns for higher risk.
Rothschild highlights several structural features of private debt. As unlisted instruments, these loans are not subject to market volatility and can offer an illiquidity premium over listed bonds. Private debt funds have shorter investment periods (2-3 years versus 3-5 years for private equity) and holding periods (2-3 years versus 4-6 years). Because the instruments rank higher in the capital structure than equity, investors face less exposure in the event of borrower default. Returns are typically paid as regular quarterly coupons over the 6-8 year fund life, barring credit events, and debt is often variable-rate, which is advantageous in the current high-interbank-rate environment.
The market has shifted since the war in Ukraine, rising inflation and rapid rate increases. Large Cap transactions (above EUR 300 million) have become more complex, with fewer deals concluded in 2023, and most are executed through debt funds. Banks have resumed syndicating loans since end-2023 as liquidity improved. In the Small & Mid Cap segment, lenders have been highly selective over the past two years, leverage has structurally declined and margins have risen, which Rothschild describes as a favourable risk/return adjustment for lenders. Subordinated debt, including PIK and mezzanine, has returned to the market. Rothschild notes slightly higher default rates and more restructuring and distressed debt as borrowers face tougher conditions. Non-cyclical sectors such as health care are attractive to lenders, while cyclical firms face difficulty obtaining financing. ESG criteria have also become a priority, with instruments such as ESG margin ratchet loans linking interest rates to environmental, social or governance targets, such as reducing GHG emissions.
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