Key Takeaways
- • KBRA assigned a long-term AAA rating to the State of Connecticut's Special Tax Obligation Bonds, Transportation Infrastructure Purposes, 2026 Series B, with a Stable Outlook.
- • KBRA affirmed the AAA rating on the State's outstanding Special Tax Obligation Bonds for transportation infrastructure.
- • Credit strengths cited include diverse pledged revenue sources and a legal covenant to maintain at least 2.0x annual debt service coverage.
- • Key credit challenges are slower economic growth than the U.S. and New England for more than a decade, and substantial transportation funding needs.
- • KBRA identifies an economic downturn causing sustained coverage decline and budgetary pressure as the primary downgrade trigger.
Summary
According to KBRA, the ratings reflect two principal credit strengths. The first is diverse pledged revenue sources, which provide a stable source of payment and solid coverage of debt service requirements. The second is favorable legal protections, including a covenant requiring the State to maintain at least 2.0x annual debt service coverage.
KBRA also flagged two credit challenges. The State's rate of economic growth has trailed that of the U.S. and the New England region for more than a decade, although the State's wealth levels remain favorable. In addition, the agency noted that transportation needs are substantial and place pressure on the State's ability to fund them over the longer term.
Because the bonds carry a AAA rating, KBRA states that an upgrade is not applicable. The agency identifies a potential downgrade driver as an economic downturn that leads to a sustained decline in coverage and budgetary pressure on the State. The rating methodology applied is KBRA's Public Finance: U.S. Special Tax Revenue Bond Rating Methodology.
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