Key Takeaways
- • The State Pension Fund of Finland (VER) posted a 6.2 percent return for the first nine months of 2026, down from 6.9 percent at mid-year as third-quarter volatility eroded gains.
- • Quantitative and trend-following CTA strategies were the strongest contributors to VER's hedge fund portfolio in the third quarter, benefiting from strong trends in fixed income, currency and commodities markets.
- • VER's hedge fund allocation stood at €1.1 billion, or 4.2 percent of its portfolio at mid-year, the smallest weight among Finland's largest institutional investors.
- • Hedge funds returned 11.3 percent in 2025 and 10.9 percent in 2024, with a five-year annualized return of 7.4 percent.
- • Asian-focused funds faced the greatest headwinds as the artificial intelligence-driven upward trend faded in July.
Summary
The VER investment team described the third quarter as "highly volatile." It said July brought a sharp rotation away from the first-half winners, particularly in artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks. Markets later stabilized, but a sharp rise in interest rates in September widened the dispersion of returns across funds again.
Quantitative and trend-following CTA strategies were the strongest performers in the quarter, recovering from a weaker second quarter. The team said these strategies benefited in particular from strong trends in fixed income, currency and commodities markets. Asian-focused funds, by contrast, faced the greatest challenges after the AI-led uptrend faded.
Hedge funds account for €1.1 billion, or 4.2 percent, of VER's portfolio, the smallest allocation among Finland's largest institutional investors. The broader €27.1 billion portfolio returned 7.8 percent over the first nine months, led by listed equities at 17.7 percent. Liquid fixed income lost 0.3 percent. Among private markets, unlisted equities gained 11.9 percent, infrastructure funds 11.0 percent, direct lending 5.1 percent, private credit funds 4.2 percent, private equity 3.7 percent, and unlisted real estate 1.2 percent.
Go deeper than the headline
Research every firm in this story, track the ones that matter and get the daily briefing — free for 7 days.