Key Takeaways
- • Mandatum Managed Futures UCITS won The Hedge Fund Journal's UCITS Hedge award for Best Performing Fund in 2025 and over 2- and 3-year periods ending December 2025, in the CTA Trend Following (AUM < $150m) category.
- • The fund, launched in December 2019, was seeded by Mandatum's balance sheet and a Finnish pension fund, and has evolved from pure trend following into a multi-factor, regime-adaptive strategy.
- • Mandatum reports the fund posted its greatest annual outperformance versus the Barclay CTA index by 10.34% in 2024 and 5.14% in 2025, during the August 2024 yen crisis and April 2025 tariff turmoil.
- • The program adds mean reversion, carry and seasonality models alongside trend, dynamically adjusting factor weights, trend speed and risk levels based on market regime.
- • Senior portfolio manager Ville Rantanen says the design aims to reduce drawdowns and improve risk-adjusted returns, with crisis alpha as a natural outcome rather than an explicit target.
Summary
According to senior portfolio manager Ville Rantanen, the diversification was driven by the volatility of trend strategies. The fund has added orthogonal strategies using mean reversion, carry and seasonality models, and has deliberately avoided introducing additional trend models, which Rantanen argues are highly correlated with one another. He describes the approach as a next-generation managed futures framework that combines multiple low-correlation return drivers. Mandatum's regime engine uses an ensemble of models to distinguish between nuanced and radical regime shifts, and is integrated into the core investment and risk framework rather than run as an overlay. Trend speed is also varied by regime, and the firm cites early-warning signals that prompted defensive adjustments during the August 2024 Japanese yen crisis and the April 2025 tariff turmoil.
The fund can also vary its risk levels, as it does not target constant volatility or constant risk. Risk is managed through model selection and position sizing, with the system reducing conviction when signals are noisy. Positions are netted at the portfolio level before execution, and risk limits including daily position sizing limits, VaR thresholds and concentration rules apply. The portfolio never holds 100% or zero exposure to any of its four broad factor families.
Rantanen grounds the continued relevance of trend in behavioural biases, business cycles, fund flows, shifting market frictions and AI-driven trend formation. He notes that the fund does not explicitly target crisis alpha, but says low correlations to traditional assets and positive performance during market stress have historically resulted from the design. The source article is a Hedge Fund Journal profile published 2 November 2026 in Issue 180.
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