Key Takeaways
- • CHANGE Global founder Thea Jamison, speaking at Sohn Tokyo 2026, argued that Indonesia's dominant telecom operator could nearly double, implying roughly 90% upside to her target, with a dividend yield of about 10%.
- • The stock trades near a 20-year low and two standard deviations below its average valuation, according to Jamison's analysis.
- • Jamison cites governance as the catalyst, pointing to Japan's market near an all-time high and Korea following the same path.
- • Indonesia's capital markets faced pressure in 2026 after MSCI threatened to remove the country from its emerging market benchmark over free float and ownership concerns.
- • Reforms announced between March and October, including raising minimum free float from 7.5% to 15% and disclosure of shareholders above 1%, are seen by Jamison as insufficient in scope and pace.
Summary
Jamison, who started her career at Nicholas Applegate Capital Management, later part of Allianz, founded CHANGE Global in 2013 to run developing-market portfolios for pension funds, foundations, family offices and consultants. She is a CFA charterholder with an MBA from Stanford and says she has researched opportunities in more than 90 countries and invested directly on 60 local stock exchanges.
Her argument is set against a difficult year for Indonesia's capital markets. In January, according to Jamison, MSCI announced it was considering removing Indonesia from its emerging market benchmark over free float and ownership concerns. Trading was halted, and the heads of the stock exchange and the financial regulator resigned. Reforms have since followed, including plans to raise the minimum free float from 7.5% to 15% and to require disclosure of shareholders holding more than 1%. Jamison said these measures have not gone far enough or fast enough. The night before her talk, MSCI added further scrutiny and a new threat that Indonesia could be removed from its global benchmarks.
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