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As Hedge Fund Returns Falter, Money Continues to Flow In (Published 2015) - The New York Times

Reported by Nytimes
Feb 26, 2015· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • Hedge funds generated only 2.89% returns in 2014 (Barclay Hedge Fund Index), substantially underperforming the S&P 500 (+13%), the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (+5%), and a simple 60/40 stock-bond blend across three-, five-, and ten-year periods—including the financial crisis recovery period when hedging should theoretically provide value.
  • • Despite weak performance, large institutional investors added $1 billion to hedge funds in January 2015 alone and contributed more than $88 billion during 2014, pushing total hedge fund assets above $3 trillion, according to eVestment data.
  • • CalPERS, the largest U.S. pension fund, withdrew from hedge fund investments in 2014, yet this high-profile exit has not triggered anticipated follow-on redemptions from other major pension funds and institutions.
  • • Peter Laurelli, vice president for research at eVestment, attributed continued investor inflows to accelerating hedge fund interest since the 2008 financial crisis, with momentum particularly intensifying over the preceding two years despite performance headwinds.
  • • High management fees have enabled hedge fund managers to accumulate substantial personal wealth, while investors face the disconnect between fee structures designed for alpha generation and persistent benchmark underperformance.
Summary
The hedge fund industry faces a fundamental performance-fee paradox as investors continue deploying capital despite sustained underperformance. In 2014, the Barclay Hedge Fund Index returned just 2.89%, a stark contrast to the S&P 500's 13% gain and the broader bond market's 5% appreciation. More concerning for proponents of active hedge fund management, the industry has substantially underperformed a simple 60% stock/40% bond index portfolio across three-, five-, and ten-year measurement periods. Critically, this ten-year comparison window encompasses the 2008 financial crisis—the precise market stress scenario that hedge funds are theoretically designed to mitigate through downside protection and diversification strategies.

The performance gap has triggered visible institutional action. CalPERS, California's flagship pension fund managing hundreds of billions in retirement assets, withdrew entirely from hedge fund allocations in 2014, signaling a public rejection of the asset class. Yet this high-profile defection has not cascaded into broader institutional exodus. Rather, the opposite pattern has emerged: large institutional investors, including pensions, family offices, and endowments, committed more than $88 billion to hedge funds during 2014 and added an additional $1 billion in January 2015 alone. Total hedge fund assets have surged past $3 trillion.

According to eVestment, the investment consultancy tracking institutional capital flows, this capital attraction persists despite performance headwinds. Peter Laurelli, vice president for research at eVestment, characterizes investor behavior as paradoxical: "Investor interest in hedge funds has been continuously accelerating since the financial crisis, and it has really picked up during the past two years." The data suggests institutional decision-makers view hedge fund allocations through a multi-dimensional lens—potentially prioritizing liquidity, perceived operational sophistication, diversification metrics, and fee predictability over short-term absolute returns relative to passive benchmarks.

The performance-versus-flows disconnect underscores a structural reality in hedge fund economics: elevated management fees have enriched the industry's top performers regardless of net-of-fee investor returns. Scores of hedge fund managers have accumulated billionaire status despite aggregate industry underperformance, highlighting the asymmetry between manager compensation structures and client economics. This dynamic raises questions about the sustainability of hedge fund capital attraction if performance gaps persist and institutional investors conduct rigorous net-of-fee return analysis against simplified index alternatives.

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Nytimes As Hedge Fund Returns Falter, Money Continues to Flow In (Published 2015) - The New York Times