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Investment giant JPMorgan says Bitcoin (BTC) could yield a 10% annual return over the next 10 years

Reported by Cryptonews
Oct 20, 2026· 2 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • JPMorgan Asset Management's "2027 Long-Term Capital Market Predictions" report projects a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin over the next 10 years, according to the source article.
  • • The same report projects 7.5% annually for US large-cap stocks and 5.5% for gold, placing Bitcoin at the top of the three asset classes assessed.
  • • Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said financial institutions that previously dismissed Bitcoin are now including it in long-term return analyses.
  • • The projection is a forecast only and the source notes actual performance may vary with market conditions, investor demand and macroeconomic developments.
Summary
JPMorgan has projected that Bitcoin (BTC) could deliver a 10 percent compound annual return over the next 10 years, according to a report cited by Cryptonews.net. The forecast comes from the "2027 Long-Term Capital Market Predictions" report published by JPMorgan Asset Management, which evaluates expected performance across asset classes over the same decade-long horizon.

In the report's assessment, Bitcoin is expected to outperform both US large-cap equities and gold. US large-cap stocks are projected to return 7.5 percent annually, while gold is expected to yield 5.5 percent. On those figures, Bitcoin ranks as the highest-performing asset class in the analysis for the period.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan commented on the projections, arguing that traditional financial institutions have shifted significantly in their approach to Bitcoin. According to Hougan, firms that previously ignored or criticized the cryptocurrency are now incorporating it into long-term investment analyses, and it is notable that they are considering Bitcoin among the assets likely to deliver the strongest returns over the next decade.

The source article characterizes the 10 percent figure as a projection rather than a guarantee. It notes that Bitcoin's actual performance may vary depending on market conditions, investor demand and macroeconomic developments.

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Sources

1 outlet

AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Cryptonews Investment giant JPMorgan says Bitcoin (BTC) could yield a 10% annual return over the next 10 years