Key Takeaways
- • U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs took in $110.34 million on Monday, October 26, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for the entire inflow while the other eleven funds recorded no net flows.
- • The inflow ended a two-session outflow run of $773.4 million on October 22 and 23, but October flows remain about $202 million negative.
- • Total net assets stand at $102.84 billion, about 6.41% of bitcoin's market capitalization, with IBIT holding $64.80 billion (63% of the category) and cumulative net inflows since the January 2024 launch at $57.29 billion.
- • Bitcoin traded near $80,427 late Monday, up 0.37%, and failed to join an equity rally, suggesting ETF flows are following price rather than leading it.
- • Analysts argue demand has narrowed to a single buyer and turned erratic; sustained inflows broadening beyond IBIT would be needed to signal a genuine recovery.
Summary
Total trading volume across the funds reached $1.86 billion, with IBIT handling $1.38 billion, or 74% of the total. Total net assets stood at $102.84 billion, about 6.41% of bitcoin's market capitalization. IBIT held $64.80 billion of that, followed by FBTC at $14.05 billion and GBTC at $10.01 billion. Cumulative net inflows since the January 2024 launch reached $57.29 billion.
Bitcoin's price barely responded. BTC traded near $80,427 late Monday, up 0.37%, slipped briefly below $80,000 on Tuesday and recovered toward $80,700. The cryptocurrency did not join a rally that lifted the Nasdaq 1.33% and the chip index 3% on Tuesday, as AI capital-raising headlines drew speculative money toward equities.
The week of October 19 opened strongly, with $526.6 million of inflows on October 19 led by $665.2 million into IBIT, followed by about $528.4 million on October 21. The reversal came on October 22, when the funds lost $635.5 million amid a broad risk-off move that included a 2.6% Nasdaq decline, a 6.72% drop in the chip index and an oil spike. Friday's $137.94 million outflow extended the selling. Net inflows for the week ended October 23 were about $304.77 million, with IBIT posting $566 million for the week while other funds recorded net outflows.
IBIT's dominance is pronounced: it holds 63% of category assets, captured 100% of Monday's inflows, and posted net inflows of $933.1 million over the past 30 days, the most among spot bitcoin funds. Analysts cited in the report see the concentration as a risk, since a single large holder exiting IBIT can swing the entire category.
October remains in deficit at about $202 million of net outflows through Monday, after briefly turning positive during the week of October 19. Total net assets fell from $108.89 billion in early October to $102.84 billion, a decline of about 5.6%, which the report attributes mostly to bitcoin's price slide from near $86,200 rather than to outflows. Tuesday's flow figures, due after the U.S. close, will indicate whether Monday marked a recovery or a pause, ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday and an $11 billion options expiry on Friday.
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