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India’s richest families bet on private credit for 12–18% returns. But at what risk?

Reported by Financialexpress
Aug 27, 2026· 3 min read
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Key Takeaways
  • • India's private-credit structures delivered 12–18% annual returns in 2024–25, according to the EY and Julius Baer Indian Family Office Playbook, attracting wealthy families seeking income-generating alternatives to equities and traditional fixed income.
  • • Mid- and large-sized Indian family offices managed approximately Rs 70,000 crore in assets as of 2024, with assets projected to grow at a 14% compound annual growth rate over three years, driven by diversification into private equity, venture capital, and private credit.
  • • Private credit appeals to family offices as a lender-based investment strategy providing consistent income streams that equity and private equity investments do not reliably deliver, positioning it as a distinct asset class within alternative investment portfolios.
  • • High returns in private credit come paired with material credit, liquidity, concentration, and recovery risks—borrowers typically lack easy access to bank funding, creating uncertainty around repayment timelines and capital recovery in default scenarios.
  • • Key due-diligence questions for investors include borrower creditworthiness, loan collateral backing, lock-in periods, and default recovery mechanisms, underscoring that headline returns alone do not capture the full risk profile of private-credit investments.
Summary
India's ultra-high-net-worth families are increasingly allocating capital to private credit, capitalizing on double-digit yield opportunities in a diversifying investment landscape. According to the Indian Family Office Playbook published jointly by EY and Julius Baer, private-credit structures in India generated 12–18% annual returns during 2024–25, positioning the asset class as a compelling income alternative within the alternative investment ecosystem. This shift reflects a broader strategic reallocation: mid- and large-sized Indian family offices managed approximately Rs 70,000 crore in assets as of 2024, with industry projections forecasting 14% compound annual growth over the next three years. The growth trajectory is fueled by expanding allocations to alternatives including private equity, venture capital, long-short funds, and private credit—a material departure from traditional holdings in equities, fixed deposits, real estate, and gold.

The structural appeal of private credit to family offices lies in its income-generation characteristics. Unlike equity or private equity investments, where returns depend on capital appreciation or exit multiples, private credit positions investors as lenders rather than owners, creating predictable cash flow streams. This feature addresses a specific portfolio need for institutional investors seeking steady yield without equity-market volatility exposure. However, the income profile comes with a distinct and material risk architecture fundamentally different from listed bonds or mutual funds.

Private-credit investments typically finance businesses or projects lacking conventional bank access, shifting credit risk directly to the lender. This structural reality introduces multiple layers of complexity that headline returns obscure. Investors face credit risk (borrower default probability), liquidity risk (difficulty exiting positions before maturity), concentration risk (heavy exposure to single borrowers or sectors), and recovery risk (time and amount recovered in default scenarios). The primary source emphasizes that rigorous due diligence must address four critical questions: borrower identity and creditworthiness, loan backing and collateral quality, lock-in period duration, and default recovery mechanisms. Without comprehensive answers to these questions, investors face material downside scenarios not captured in headline yield figures.

The rise of private credit among Indian family offices reflects rational portfolio optimization within a market offering limited high-yield alternatives in the traditional fixed-income space. However, the asset class remains less transparent than public markets, with higher information asymmetries and fewer standardized pricing benchmarks. Investors must approach private-credit allocations with institutional rigor equivalent to private equity due diligence, not treat them as simple yield plays. The EY-Julius Baer research signals significant capital flows into private credit, but sophistication in underwriting borrower quality and recovery mechanics will likely differentiate performance outcomes across family office portfolios.

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Sources

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AlphaMaven summarised this story from the reporting below. Each link opens the original article.

Financialexpress India’s richest families bet on private credit for 12–18% returns. But at what risk?