The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem Karsan

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Episode TimeStamps:



00:00 – Why Cem believes the next V-shaped market move is coming00:58 – Introduction and what’s on Cem’s radar03:34 – A strong year for trend following05:29 – What is driving bond yields higher?09:09 – Inflation, debt and declining foreign demand for Treasuries12:53 – Why short-term interest rate expectations have shifted so dramatically18:01 – Can rising bond yields eventually break the equity market?19:00 – Why Cem questions the sustainability of AI-driven earnings growth25:27 – Market concentration and the growing fragility of the system33:54 – Government intervention and the return of the V-shaped market37:19 – Cem’s case for a coming Treasury market shock42:50 – Why the US midterm elections could matter for markets46:43 – What the options market is pricing for the months ahead48:27 – Bond volatility and where yields could go next50:41 – Could the US eventually create a sovereign wealth fund?54:34 – Inflation, equities and the importance of real returns01:00:13 – Why the traditional 60/40 portfolio may face a different future
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